9 Comments

Sorry, Arnold. You say you don't like to write this sort of post. I know well you don't like that because for a long time you have avoided writing about the many people who have been destroying your country. But never it's too late. You should join the forces trying to stop them. The war is not about culture, it's about power. Yes, rent-seekers are babies in comparison with power-seekers because sooner or later the latter will resort to violence to get what they want (as you can already observe in your country). Unfortunately, the barbarians know they can count on too many servants to publicize their lies. I suggest you start writing about how the barbarians rely on spreading fear of the virus and climate change to mobilize fake intellectuals and reporters to persuade ordinary people.

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"The notion that young black men are being systematically hunted is simply untrue." And it so untrue in fact that essentially no one believes it.

What IS true is that there are many things that we could do to reduce the number of policy killings of unarmed civilians like focus the time and attention of armed officers on preventing and solving violent crimes, not enforcing traffic laws (beyond photograph-and -cite) and responding to public nuisance complaints.

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Race riots are not always the same everywhere. There are at least two kinds, maybe more. One kind is what we might call lynchings (the majority gets upset). Another kind is closer to prison riots (the local, generically disfavored majority, riots). A third kind might be a flash pogrom (cleansing of an isolated community). There could be others, I think, but riots vs a spree of assassinations, for example, males it hard for a tiny minority to foment a riot, per se.

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I think this framing by providing the correct denominator of stops is useful. What the ACLU often does in its papers that support Soros DAs is to take the locality where they are electioneering and then compare stop rates by race in the tiny locality. They pick comparisons that support their argument and discard the other data that might not be good for their argument, even if the actual numbers involved are quite small because they only reference one metro area or even one subsection of a metro area.

Race riots are not special events that are unique to the US, but I think part of the problem in the intellectual sphere is the broad treatment of the recent ones as unprecedented and unusual. Giving them the branding of a specific NGO, calling them "the Black Lives Matter protests" or the "protests following the murder of George Floyd" make them seem special and deserving of being considered as isolated events.

Instead they should be thought of as generic race riots, virtually the same as all race riots everywhere, with basically the same results as all race riots have.

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Robin Hanson says that politics is not about policy but showing that you care. Ironically, the rhetoric and policies politicians adopt to effectively signal caring to the voters are a strong signal to me that they don’t care.

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