I think machine intelligence and biological intelligence will end up being analogous to machine flight and biological flight. The artificial kind effectively mimics the core uses of the biological kind, but does so in a lower dimensional way that never fully assembles the details that make the living entity unique.
We'll get AI's that replicate the human mind across many different domains, but the lack of whole body intra-cellular systems prevents it ever from being able to present itself as fully human.
This is mostly good news, since it means AI doomers are way off and their most fearful prognostications will end up looking silly. It does mean society will have a whole host of institutional dilemmas as a result of AI, but they are of the more prosaic kind: widening gaps in worker and firm productivity, incentive structures that can be regularly gamed with the use of intelligent programs, and the acceleration of the baumol effect.
I wonder whether the “something special” argument makes religious people less likely to get excited by the hype or doomerism of AI. It does for me, but I don’t know if that’s a general trend.
I think machine intelligence and biological intelligence will end up being analogous to machine flight and biological flight. The artificial kind effectively mimics the core uses of the biological kind, but does so in a lower dimensional way that never fully assembles the details that make the living entity unique.
We'll get AI's that replicate the human mind across many different domains, but the lack of whole body intra-cellular systems prevents it ever from being able to present itself as fully human.
This is mostly good news, since it means AI doomers are way off and their most fearful prognostications will end up looking silly. It does mean society will have a whole host of institutional dilemmas as a result of AI, but they are of the more prosaic kind: widening gaps in worker and firm productivity, incentive structures that can be regularly gamed with the use of intelligent programs, and the acceleration of the baumol effect.
I wonder whether the “something special” argument makes religious people less likely to get excited by the hype or doomerism of AI. It does for me, but I don’t know if that’s a general trend.
Have you seen ChatGPT plug-ins? Modular approaches to AGI are quite straightfoward in the current paradigm.