11 Comments
Apr 28, 2023Liked by Arnold Kling

Many social scientists concur that parenting has negligible or no impact on children’s outcomes. However, they also acknowledge that children from two-parent households tend to perform better. This is an intriguing contradiction.

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Charles data is more or less the thesis statement behind why I'm a conservative rather than a classical liberal. I can't regard this as anything other than objectively inferior to the pre sexual revolution outcomes.

I would add that all those high SES areas have low TFR. These demographics solved their marriage problem through extreme delay and low childcare burden, which isn't really a success as much as a preemptive surrender.

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Apr 28, 2023Liked by Arnold Kling

I don't think you ever linked to your discussion of Warriors and Worriers... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7h_Y_IRGDcI

Also, something that will be a fairly banal point here, and a heresy on some social media, is if you are giving someone an MMPI it matters for scoring whether it is a man or woman. There are certain trait scales that have different normal ranges for men and women, so when writing a report about an elevation outside the normal range the sex of the person matters for the results report.

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> There are many unnecessary administrative jobs on college campuses or in large public school systems.

The problem is that much unnecessity isn't in the jobs themselves. Suppose the polity decides X needs to be regulated. Then

1. You need public servants to administer the regulations.

2. You need compliance officials at the regulated entities.

3. Both sides need extra lawyers

None of these jobs are bullshit -- they are necessary given the political decision. That decision might or might not be bullshit.

Bullshit regulations might proliferate in a society there's already whole class of literate workers close the leavers of power whose bread is buttered by such regulations. But that doesn't make it possible to simply sack those workers.

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Really interesting about the two parent families.

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"I wonder whether technology can ever truly make a sinecure obsolete. After all, the point of the job isn’t that it gets done, but that somebody does it. We create the position to have the right sort of person in it."

Almost everyone who has been commenting in the last few weeks about how AI will replace so many jobs seem to be ignoring this point. Even in the TI industry most people outside the field seem to be ignorant of the fact that a great deal of middle management in that industry spends a lot of their time dealing with f**k ups, screw ups, apportioning blame, etc... it's the price we pay for using very powerful but very brittle technologies.

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Where I grew up isn't one of those 39 locales, but it is also overwhelmingly white, but just dirt poor.

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Those 39 locale are overwhelmingly wealthy and with 90%+ white or white adjacent populations living in them. I scanned the NY, NJ ones because I am familiar with the area, and am unsurprised.

Most of the "red" areas of the country (at least those not sparsely populated) are far more mixed ethnically than a lot of the deepest blue jurisdictions, which tend to be either overwhelmingly white or overwhelmingly black.

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