Marc Andreessen on the business environment; Erik Torenberg critiques Peter Zeihan; Kling and Michael Gibson critique Zeihan; Rob Henderson on the dating pool; Eric Levitz on empty office space;
The lower classes are the ones with the most sex relations problems and I don't think there is a sex imbalance there.
As to liberal arts colleges being dysfunctional, it may have to do with the kind of people that go to liberal arts colleges.
I can only report my own experience in my 20s. Most people are going to bars/parties and hooking up. Add apps to that. At best they "hook up regularly" with the same person for awhile. This is largely dysfunctional.
The only people not doing that are people really into religion. When I started going to a church group everyone eventually got married and I met my wife through a friend from there. Nobody went on a date they didn't think at least had the potential for marriage, even if every relationship wasn't going to end up that way.
There were probably more women than men in our church group but it didn't cause any dysfunction.
I'm not sure I follow the wording and meaning correctly but it seems that Torenberg is saying the US benefits from latin America being poor and ill-governed. Can someone explain that?
I get that we gain something from immigrants from these countries but my economic training suggests we gain far, FAR more in numerous ways if the rest of the world is prosperous. What am I missing?
Arnold could have long quoted Marc in support of his "AI changes everything:"
>>"overwhelmingly it's the impact AI is having on coding. I think there's a real possibility that basically every application category gets upended in the next five years. I think the whole model of how applications get built across every domain might just completely change. In the old model without AI, you typically have some sort of database, you have some sort of front end for the database, you had forms, you had these known user interaction models, mobile apps and so forth. ...
AI might just upend all that. The future apps might just be much more of a dialogue between computer and machine. Either a written-text dialogue, or a spoken dialogue or some other form of dialogue. And the human is guiding the machine on what to do, and receiving real time feedback. And there's a loop, and then the machine just does what it does, and it gives you the results. I think we're potentially on the front end of that, that all might change. ... So that's probably the big thing." <<
My view is that good ai will hugely reduce the need more middle managers who summarize manager reports for the directors & VPs. It seems unlikely to create more startup type folk - but good startup ai mentors might well help entrepreneurs avoid many mistakes such founders often make. Also I hope so.
Talking about Singapore and Israel vs Brazil seems impressive until you input IQ, and then its simple.
I'm also not particularly impressed that a few small high IQ societies can fulfill niche rolls in the global economy.
Japan is clearly in decline. It's still a nice place to live, but you'll be blind not to see the demographic problems piling up.
Young SMART people are a precious resources. And having natural resources is a big help if you're smart enough to use them right, its not the USA fault that Latin Americans are too dumb to make anything of their gifts.
It's interesting that in one link we are arguing that 1% of the economy dependent entirely on young smart people drives all advancement, and then in another we are arguing that a gerontocracy of elderly managers won't be a problem.
Re “too much capital chasing too few founders”: Andreessen is probably right, but this is a perennial complaint of VCs. Not sure I have ever heard one complain about the reverse.
The cities' response will almost certainly to be to resist lowering the assessments and to raise the mill levy, thus driving even more employers out of the offices.
The lower classes are the ones with the most sex relations problems and I don't think there is a sex imbalance there.
As to liberal arts colleges being dysfunctional, it may have to do with the kind of people that go to liberal arts colleges.
I can only report my own experience in my 20s. Most people are going to bars/parties and hooking up. Add apps to that. At best they "hook up regularly" with the same person for awhile. This is largely dysfunctional.
The only people not doing that are people really into religion. When I started going to a church group everyone eventually got married and I met my wife through a friend from there. Nobody went on a date they didn't think at least had the potential for marriage, even if every relationship wasn't going to end up that way.
There were probably more women than men in our church group but it didn't cause any dysfunction.
I'm not sure I follow the wording and meaning correctly but it seems that Torenberg is saying the US benefits from latin America being poor and ill-governed. Can someone explain that?
I get that we gain something from immigrants from these countries but my economic training suggests we gain far, FAR more in numerous ways if the rest of the world is prosperous. What am I missing?
Arnold could have long quoted Marc in support of his "AI changes everything:"
>>"overwhelmingly it's the impact AI is having on coding. I think there's a real possibility that basically every application category gets upended in the next five years. I think the whole model of how applications get built across every domain might just completely change. In the old model without AI, you typically have some sort of database, you have some sort of front end for the database, you had forms, you had these known user interaction models, mobile apps and so forth. ...
AI might just upend all that. The future apps might just be much more of a dialogue between computer and machine. Either a written-text dialogue, or a spoken dialogue or some other form of dialogue. And the human is guiding the machine on what to do, and receiving real time feedback. And there's a loop, and then the machine just does what it does, and it gives you the results. I think we're potentially on the front end of that, that all might change. ... So that's probably the big thing." <<
My view is that good ai will hugely reduce the need more middle managers who summarize manager reports for the directors & VPs. It seems unlikely to create more startup type folk - but good startup ai mentors might well help entrepreneurs avoid many mistakes such founders often make. Also I hope so.
Talking about Singapore and Israel vs Brazil seems impressive until you input IQ, and then its simple.
I'm also not particularly impressed that a few small high IQ societies can fulfill niche rolls in the global economy.
Japan is clearly in decline. It's still a nice place to live, but you'll be blind not to see the demographic problems piling up.
Young SMART people are a precious resources. And having natural resources is a big help if you're smart enough to use them right, its not the USA fault that Latin Americans are too dumb to make anything of their gifts.
It's interesting that in one link we are arguing that 1% of the economy dependent entirely on young smart people drives all advancement, and then in another we are arguing that a gerontocracy of elderly managers won't be a problem.
> The hookup culture that conservatives want to blame on declining moral standards is instead partly a result of gender imbalance.
Many conservatives would likely see the gender imbalance as partly the result of a decline in moral standards.
Re “too much capital chasing too few founders”: Andreessen is probably right, but this is a perennial complaint of VCs. Not sure I have ever heard one complain about the reverse.
The key to the changes in urban real estate market is if zoning/building codes policies allow transition to new uses for real estate
The cities' response will almost certainly to be to resist lowering the assessments and to raise the mill levy, thus driving even more employers out of the offices.