This sort of addresses the why the Fed allowed a financial crisis to happen. The error there seems to be confusing not allowing an institution to fail with not allowing its owners to loose all their investment.

But my question was more about 2009 - 2020. Why didn't the Fed buy "as much as it takes" at least to achieve its target inflation rate and the firms expectation thereof? It seems to me that if TIPS does not wander symmetrically close to target the Fed is doing something wrong and should know it.

Expand full comment

"declining output and falling prices (which increased real debt burdens) led to widespread financial distress among borrowers, lessening their capacity to pledge collateral or to otherwise retain significant equity interests in their proposed investments."

Admittedly, you do get back to this at the end of the essay- but I would say the "declining output and falling prices" revealed the unsound debts, even those to the most credit-worthy debtors.

Expand full comment

" If the credit channel amplifies a downturn, is there a reason to be concerned about too much credit expansion during a boom? You can easily find non-academic cranks who point to ratios of both private and public debt to GDP and warn that a crash is coming."

You mean cranks like Peter Shiff or Michael Burry?

This is going to be hilarious. Again.

Expand full comment