Discussion about this post

User's avatar
John Alcorn's avatar

Let me offer two conjectures about impacts of political and fiscal 'path dependence' on any local or Federal UBI in the USA.

1) Local path dependence:

Half of school funding comes from local property taxes. The bulk of local government expenditures are for schools. Local property owners won't support a UBI because propertyless families will predictably spend much of their UBI on things they value more than school. A UBI, willy nilly, would reduce aggregate school expenditures (perhaps a negative externality for homeowners with children). In terms of political psychology, given path dependence, local property owners are willing to subsidize school for children of propertyless families, but not other family expenditures.

2) Federal path dependence:

In all likelihood, notwithstanding the intentions of theorists, a Universal Basic Income would be an addendum to — not a substitute for — extant government subsidies (welfare for food and shelter, healthcare; education; retirement). A UBI would backfire by increasing big government without really tackling the education establishment.

I don't have strong intuitions about path dependence at the State level.

Taimyoboi's avatar

“Interestingly, the First Amendment does not apply to states.”

It may depend on what you mean here, but I’m not sure that’s right. My con law is pretty rusty, but I thought the First Amendment had been incorporated against the states.

49 more comments...

No posts

Ready for more?