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Arnold Kling's avatar

The revolts are much less formally organized. Thus greatly reduces their effectiveness. Gurri goes into this in his book.

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Handle's avatar

"Neither has a program. They are just in revolt."

Is this true? Anti-Israel protesters have a program: End the Jewish State via an updated Rhodesia / South Africa playbook. Anti-immigration protesters have a program: Substantially reduce immigration. De-fund the police has a program: Substantially reduce the budget for law enforcement and, thus, reduce policing, which, being mostly unjust racism-motivated policing, shouldn't happen anyway. These positions are much more explicit policies and programs than one is likely to get out of any western political leader or, ahem, candidate.

Now, sure, it's possible to play "No True Scotsman" with the definition of "program", and move the goalposts and say, "Well, actually, what a 'program' has to be is not just a stand-alone policy, but ALSO a plan to implement the policy, to deal with the trade-offs and unintended consequences, etc. Like, what exactly happens to the Israeli Jews? What about the native-born kids of illegal immigrants?

If someone is breaking into my house do I call a social worker or what? And these protesters aren't sufficiently organized as a movement to have conspicuously signed on en masse to a particular articulation of such a plan to constitute 'having a program'."

One can try to define "program" that way, but um, ok, the electorate and special-interest groups advocating passionately for less comprehensively detailed packages of reform is just democratic politics forever, not some Gurri-esque recently-new phenomenon.

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