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Moses Sternstein's avatar

I think a central flaw in modelling this conflict is the (appealing) premise that Hamas oppresses the people of Gaza. It's just not supported by the evidence.

We know that Arabs (a crude but useful generalization) are pretty good at taking up arms against what they regard as oppressive governance. It just so happens that when they do that successfully--at least recently--they replace it with something that looks like (or is) Hamas. It's been said for the umpteenth time, Hamas was democratically elected. There isn't much evidence that another election would lead to a different result.

Hamas isn't oppressive. It's the antidote to oppressive. Hamas certainly doesn't represent *every* Arab in Gaza, but it's more representative of the people of Gaza than the U.S. Government is representative of the people of America (and I strongly suspect the people of Gaza are far more cohesive than the people of America). To the extent leaders are responsible for creating and aligning a vision for their constituents--i.e. telling people what to think--then you can credibly say "the people of Gaza have been betrayed by their leaders." But that doesn't change the fact that the people of Gaza are, for the most part, willingly led by Hamas. Perhaps they've been betrayed by themselves, but where does that leave you?

That of course is why the actual line between civilians and combatants is so thin--like Israelis, the Arabs in Gaza are willing to fight to the last man. Some might leave if Egypt would let them, but many would stay because it's perceived as their duty. Not everyone can be a solider, but everyone can do their part. They know that their presence makes it harder for the IDF to operate, which is why they want to be there. That's how to fight, if you're not actually holding a gun (even if many do that too). They put their lives at risk for the cause--anything less is a dereliction of duty.

The Western model predicts that any time a state actor does what we consider to be bad stuff, it must reflect an "oppressive" state. It's the state, not the people--which of course presupposes there is a "people" and that too is often not the case. In all events, there are no "bad" peoples. We must save the Russians from Putin, save the Iraqis from Sadaam, save the Afghanis from the Taliban, etc. I understand the appeal of that model (really), but where's the evidence that it's correct?

It would be more accurate to refer to Gazans as Hamasans then to disaggregate the two. The implications are what they are, and perhaps aspirations of alternative reality can help make it so, but we proceed on a false premise at our peril.

The other (bigger) flaw in the model is the notion that "independent statehood" is or was something that anyone cares about. Hamas' objective vis a vis Israel is restoring the status quo ante of Arab/Islamic sovereignty to the entire region. That objective is broadly popular and understood across MENA. "Independent statehood" is a Western projection and always has been. The "interests of the palestinian people" refer to their interests as proxies to restore the right and just hierarchy that existed for hundreds of years, until the fall of the Ottoman Empire (and not any specific people, form of governance, or some right derived from western international law or political philosophy . . . the notion is so obviously stupid, and yet).

That doesn't mean "islamofascist theocracy" (or some other neocon construction) is broadly popular--there's plenty of disagreement of who ought to be in charge and what that looks like (and there is far more bloodshed over that), but basically everyone agrees that whoever is in charge, it should be an Arab-Muslim (and definitely not a Jew). It is a disgrace that an Islamic land has fallen out of Islamic control. That's not "radical." Nor does it require a "hatred of Jews." That's what totally normal, decent hospitable people, with regular day jobs, who'd help change your tire or give you a ride in the rain, think. (Yes, there's prevalent jew-hating in MENA, but there are lots of people who would genuinely say "I don't hate jews" and also "Palestine is properly controlled by Muslims"--it's not Jew-hating, it's Islam-loving.)

In other words, the problem they are solving for is that there is *any* land in that part of the world where Islam/Muslims do not represent the top of the hierarchy (which is, again, not unreasonable given that's how it was for a long time). There are varying degrees to which people care about that problem--for lots of people it's pretty far down the list--but that's still an accurate description of the problem, and therefore statehood isn't a solution. It's not a secret or bigoted projection. Just ask them. (The bigotry is assuming the universality of western morality, but I digress.)

Our diplomatic efforts are like telling someone who's dream is to complete their masterpiece "what if we gave you 99%?" "No, I want to finish it. It's the unfinished parts that are driving me nuts." "OK, well what about 99.2%" "What the hell is wrong with you? Aren't you listening to me? 100% is the point. Anything less than that is the problem." "OK, 99.3%." "You idiot."

Israel's position, otoh, has been 'some-but-not-none'--Jews need to restore some of their sovereignty, bc no sovereignty is untenable. The maximalists who want the entirety of mandatory palestine (including the [palestinian state of] Jordan) have no purchase and never have. Statehood works for that. The Arab World's position (again, a generalization, but a meaningful one) is 'all-and-not-most.' Palestinian Statehood does not solve the problem of Jewish statehood, anymore than Egyptian or Syrian statehood does (other than being incrementally closer to removing the 'Zionist Stain.')

"Not nothing" and "Nothing less than all" are very different problems, and the solutions are mutually exclusive and zero-sum. (Unless you revive the old Uganda option for the Jews, but y'know.)

If you feel one is more just or fair than the other, then pick a side--I do, but I'm biased. But again, don't make a fundamental mistake about the lay of the land. And don't keep pounding the table "why won't you take this better version of a thing that we want you to want, but you don't actually want and never have?! Gosh this is so frustrating." It sounds dumb, and it is.

It's worse than dumb, it's counterproductive. It's like dangling the very thing that they want just out of reach, and then saying "OK, now we insist you stop wanting it."

Graham Cunningham's avatar

I do not believe that Leftist hostility to Israel is even primarily about a concern for the Palestinian people. The real driver is to signal that your narcissistic (and privileged) little wonderful self is ever on the side of 'the oppressed'. To these people 'oppression' is a shallow abstraction that serves to inflate their personal vanity as one of the good guys. This poisonous vanity has been pouring out of Western academia for decades. I still remember the drug-addled anti-Zionist 'sit-in' at my UK university in 1972.

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